Alberta Oil Sands / TIER Compliance Analysis
Facility Carbon Cost & Credit Revenue 2024–2030
After-tax-shield net cost ($/bbl) · Sliding-scale royalty · WTI $75 base case · 29 facilities
📄 Methodology
2026
Forecast Year
←
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
→
Sector:
All Facilities
Wt. Avg Net Position
—
production-weighted $/bbl
In Debit
—
Avg After-Shield Cost / bbl
—
Earning Credits
—
net credit revenue
Avg Credit Revenue / bbl
—
TIER cost containment eligibility · >3% of Sales
—
facilities eligible for BCCA
Carbon Price
—
$/tonne CO₂e · TIER
Intensity vs Benchmark · Debit / Credit Position
Debit — above 45° line
Credit — below 45° line
Dot size = production volume
Net Position / bbl · After-Shield Cost vs Credit Revenue
After-shield debit cost
Net credit revenue
3% sales threshold — BCCA eligibility
After-Shield Cost / bbl — Trajectories by Facility